A világmodellezés 50 éve

نویسندگان

چکیده

Összefoglalás. A tanulmány a világmodellezés 50 évéről ad áttekintést legismertebb és módszertanilag újítást hozó világmodellek rövid ismertetésén keresztül. fogalmának meghatározása után sorra veszi Római Klub az ENSZ szervezeteiben folyó világmodellezést jelentős modelleket, majd pedig online néhány műhelyében munkákat. bemutatott összehasonlító elemzésével rámutat azokra új modellezési módszertanokra fordulópontokra, amelyek utakat nyitottak készítésében hasznosításában. folyamatos megújulás jellemzőit világmodellezők felfogásában képzettségében, eljárásaiban, valamint világmodelleket ismerők használók körében bekövetkezett változások vonatkozásában fogalmazza meg. Summary. The aim of paper is to introduce the last years world modelling through short presentation models that have got reputation wide range in and represented methodological innovation history modelling. For this purpose after giving definition takes one by activities carried out frame Club Rome different organizations UN their most important products works running some interactive model building as well. Forrester-Meadows’s system dynamics recognizing natural resources Ervin Laszlo’s verbal considering inner human limits, GEO IPCC reports were initiated define sustainability place it centre Millennium project, JAVA Climate Model, Pardee Center for International Futures Platform are payed special attention. These defined characteristics complex problems rooting both human/social limits. They show how into catastrophe future if humanity does not reflect these limits at individual community levels finally they give requirements concerning tasks needed materialize them, necessity shift views social values. study draws attention issues came front research topics beginning 21st century especially fact why what ways idea paradigm become main problem. In can stimulate every person be able explore and/or construct own recognize everybody has do something change its behaviour survival civilization. emphasizes solutions turning points opened new process application outcomes way comparative analysis changing ideas focusing on shift. end continuous renewal shaped emphasis changes happened qualification modellers, methodology word circle users participants people who becomes acquainted with or building.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Scientia et securitas

سال: 2022

ISSN: ['2732-2688']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1556/112.2022.00094